A Laboratory Study of Holdout and Efficiency
in a Multilateral Bargaining Game
John Cadigan
Gettysburg College
Pamela Schmitt
U. S. Naval Academy
Robert Shupp
Michigan State University
Kurtis Swope
U. S. Naval Academy
Abstract
When an economic exchange requires agreement by multiple independent parties,
the potential exists for an individual to strategically delay agreement
in an attempt to capture a greater share of the surplus created by the
exchange. This “holdout problem” is a common feature of the land assembly
literature because development frequently requires the assembly of multiple
parcels of land. We use experimental methods to examine holdout behavior
in a laboratory bargaining game that involves multi-person groups, complementary
exchanges, and holdout externalities. The results of six treatments that
vary the bargaining institution, number of bargaining periods, and the
cost of delay demonstrate that holdout is common across institutions and
is, on average, a payoff-improving strategy for responders. Both proposers
and responders take a more aggressive initial bargaining stance in multi-period
bargaining treatments relative to single-period treatments, but take a
less aggressive bargaining stance when delay is costly. Nearly all exchanges
eventually occur in our multi-period treatments, leading to higher overall
efficiency relative to the single-period treatments, both with and without
delay costs.