Commissioning Week Weather Outlook (Updated 17 MAY 2019)

  POSTED ON: Wednesday, May 15, 2019 12:45 PM by METEOROLOGIST A.R. DAVIES

Executive Summary (Updated 17 May, 2019):

• Saturday: Mostly sunny with a chance for isolated showers in the evening/overnight (30% chance).  North wind 5-10 mph.  High: 74-78 ^oF.
• Sunday: Mostly sunny and humid with showers/storms possible in the afternoon, evening, and overnight (40% chance). South wind 5-10 mph.  High: 82-86 ^oF.
• Monday: Mostly sunny with scattered showers/storms possible in the afternoon, evening, and overnight (30% chance). Southwest wind 8-13 mph. High: 82-86 ^oF.
• Tuesday: Mostly sunny and pleasant. Northwest wind 5-10 mph.  High: 70-74 ^oF.
• Wednesday: Mostly cloudy and seasonably. Scattered showers/storms possible in the evening and overnight (40% chance). Southeast wind 5-10 mph. High: 72-76 ^oF.
• Thursday: Partly sunny with isolated showers possible, mainly in the morning (20% chance). South wind 10-15 mph. High: 78-82 ^oF.
• Friday: Warm and humid with a mix of clouds and sun. Isolated showers/storms possible (20% chance). Southwest wind 10-15 mph. High: 86-90 ^oF.

Forecast Discussion:

A back door cold front will pass the region Friday night. The front will likely stall just south of Annapolis on Saturday, before pushing back to our north as a warm front early on Sunday. With the front in the vicinity, there is a chance for scattered showers and thunderstorms Friday through Saturday during the afternoon, evening, and overnight hours, but a total wash-out is not expected as generally sunny skies will otherwise prevail.

Behind the warm front, Sunday and Monday will likely be warm and humid. Pop-up (summer-like) showers and thunderstorms are possible on Sunday in the afternoon, evening, and overnight. A cold front will likely pass on Monday night with afternoon/evening scattered showers and thunderstorms again possible.

Tuesday looks mostly sunny and pleasant with a drop in the humidity and a high temperature in the low 70’s. Wednesday will be similar, but another front will approach Wednesday evening/overnight with the possibility for scattered showers/storms.

A strong ridge of high pressure will build off the U.S. Southeast coast Thursday and linger through Saturday. The associated southerly flow will potentially result in seasonably warm and humid condition for the end of next week.  Some isolated showers and storms could develop Friday afternoon, but otherwise generally sunny skies and warm conditions are anticipated for graduation at this time.

Check back for updates and information.  Five day forecast will be issued on weekdays during Commissioning Week, and detailed Graduation forecasts will be issued on 20 and 22 May, with an addition forecasts on 23 May, if needed.  All forecast can be accessed online at www.usna.edu/weather.

ISSUED: 17 May 2019 at 1430
FORECASTER: Meteorologist A.R. Davies

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Disclaimer: This is not an official U.S. Navy weather forecast and should not be confused with the official Navy weather forecast provided by the Fleet Weather Center in Norfolk, VA.  Furthermore, the official U.S. Government forecast for the greater Annapolis area is issued by the National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington Forecast Office in Sterling, VA. Click here for full disclaimer.

Category: General Interest