USNA Weather Forecast
Forecast Discussion:
Temperatures will surge into the low-80s today ahead of a potent cold front set to pass this evening. As the front passes, a line of gusty showers and/or thunderstorms is likely this evening. The National Weather Service (NWS) Storm Prediction Center has categorized Central Maryland as under a “slight risk” for severe weather today with a 15% chance of wind gusts >58 mph within 25 miles. There is a higher chance for damaging wind gusts (30% chance), along with isolated tornadoes (2% chance) in Northeast Maryland/Southeast Pennsylvania. Behind the front, northwest winds will regularly gust to around 30 mph Friday night and Saturday, with occasional gusts into the mid-30s. Temperatures will fall dramatically on Saturday behind the front with temperatures falling roughly 25 oF relative to the values on Friday. Sunday will remain seasonably cold before temperatures slowly moderate for the start of next week.
Weather Forecast:
- Friday: Morning showers will give-way to decreasing clouds and seasonably hot conditions. Showers and thunderstorms likely in the evening and overnight (60% chance). Some storms could become strong or severe. Southwest wind 10-15 mph during the day. Northwest wind 13-18 mph with gusts as high as 32 mph in the evening and overnight. High near 82 oF.
- Saturday: Lingering early morning showers will give-way to mostly sunny, windy, and seasonably cold conditions. North wind 15-20 mph, gusting to 32 mph. Low: 44-48 oF. High: 54-58 oF.
- Sunday: Sunny and seasonably cold. Northeast wind 8-13 mph. Low: 40-44 oF. High: 56-60 oF.
- Monday: Sunny, breezy, and seasonably cold. Northeast wind 10-15 mph, gusting to 25 mph. Isolated showers possible in the afternoon/evening (25% chance). Low: 44-48 oF. High: 58-62 oF.
- Tuesday: Sunny and breezy. North wind 10-15 mph, gusting to 25 mph. Low: 44-48 oF. High: 62-66 oF.
High Tide Flooding Forecast:
- Minor coastal flooding is possible today around high tide with maximum water levels between 2.3 and 2.9 ft MLLW.
- High tide flooding is not anticipated on 17-18 October.
- Minor coastal flooding is possible around high tide at 0007 on 19 October with maximum water levels between 2.3 and 2.9 ft MLLW.
- High tide flooding is not anticipated on 20 October, but the forecast remains uncertain.
ISSUED: 16 October 2026 at 0835
NEXT FORECAST: 19 October 2026
FORECASTER: Meteorologist A.R. Davies
