USNA Weather Forecast

Forecast Discussion:

Tuesday will be another hot and humid day with near-record heat (the daily record high temperature is 96 ^oF set in 1962). As the humidity creeps up this afternoon, heat index values will be in the mid- to upper-90s under generally sunny skies.

A cold front will approach on Wednesday before slowly passing Wednesday night into Thursday. Thunderstorms are likely ahead of the front late Wednesday afternoon through the evening. Some storms could become strong or severe with locally torrential rain and isolated damaging wind gusts and small hail possible. Model guidance suggests that the timing for the storms is likely after 1700.

The aforementioned front will likely stall/meander across the region through the weekend. Current model guidance suggests that the front could be south of Annapolis on Friday morning before a wave of low-pressure riding the stalled front pulls the boundary back north. With any luck, this could provide a window with relatively low rain chances (<50% chance) on Friday morning (or perhaps even a window with periods of light rain/drizzle as opposed to steady rain), but that is certainly no guarantee. This is all dependent on the location of the front, and that remains uncertain. Check back for updates throughout the week.