USNA Weather Forecast
Forecast Discussion:
A series of upper-air disturbances will pass today through Wednesday with unsettled weather. The first disturbance will pass the region this evening with showers and thunderstorms possible. There remains additional questions with respect to development and coverage, but if storms do develop they could become strong or severe. The National Weather Service (NWS) Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has locations along and west of I-95 categorized as under a “slight risk” (level 2 of 5) for severe weather today and locations to the south and east as under a “marginal risk” (level 1 of 5) for severe weather. The entire region is under a “marginal risk” (level 1 of 5) for excessive rainfall with a 5% chance of flash flooding within 25 miles, according to the NWS Weather Prediction Center.
Additional pieces of energy are expected to pass Tuesday and Wednesday. Shower and thunderstorm coverage will likely be the most widespread on Tuesday with strong or severe storms once again possible. The forecast for Wednesday remains a bit uncertain in terms of shower/thunderstorm coverage. A front will slowly drift southward toward the end of the week. The hope is the front passes in time for the weekend with lower humidity and drier conditions.
Weather Forecast:
- Monday: Mostly sunny, hot, and humid. Scattered showers/storms possible in the afternoon and evening (40% chance). Some storms could be strong or severe. South wind 5-10 mph. High near 94 oF. Heat Index: 98-102 oF. WBGT: 86-88 oF.
- Tuesday: Mostly sunny, warm, and humid. Scattered showers and thunderstorms possible in the late afternoon, evening, and overnight (50% chance). Some storms could become strong or severe. West wind 5-10 mph. Low: 72-76 oF. High: 88-92 oF. Heat Index: 96-100 oF. WBGT: 85-87 oF
- Wednesday: Partly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms possible (30% chance). Northwest wind 5-10 mph. Low: 72-76 oF. High: 84-88 oF. WBGT: 84-86 oF
- Thursday: Mostly sunny, warm, and humid. Isolated showers/storms possible in the afternoon/evening (25% chance). West wind 8-13 mph. Low: 72-76 oF. High: 84-88 oF. Heat Index: 96-100 oF. WBGT: 85-87 oF
- Friday: Mostly sunny with gradually decreasing humidity. Isolated showers/storms possible in the afternoon/evening (25% chance). North wind 8-13 mph. Low: 70-74 oF. High: 84-88 oF.
High Tide Flooding Forecast:
- High tide flooding is not anticipated 10-14 August.
ISSUED: 10 August 2026 at 0723
NEXT FORECAST: 12 August 2026
FORECASTER: Meteorologist A.R. Davies
