USNA Weather Forecast
Forecast Discussion:
Category 3 Major Hurricane Isaias is expected to make landfall somewhere along the Alabama or Florida Gulf Coast Friday night. After making landfall, the storm is expected to gradually weaken and track northward into the Tennessee River Valley on Saturday before getting caught-up in the prevailing flow and turning northeastward on Sunday. As the remnants pass on Sunday, expect breezy conditions and periods of rain. Widespread rainfall totals between 1.0 and 2.0 inches are expected across Central Maryland. Wind gusts out of the east as high as 30 mph will result in minor-to-moderate coastal flooding around the evening high tide on Sunday. The combination of coastal flooding and steady rainfall will likely result in compound flooding around outfalls and pooling in low-lying areas along the coastline. In addition, 1.0 to 2.0 ft waves are possible in the mouth of the Severn River on Sunday due to the east wind. Interested parties and stakeholders are encouraged to monitor updates from the National Weather Service over the weekend at: https://www.weather.gov/lwx.
Weather Forecast:
- Friday: Mostly sunny and seasonable. West wind 5-10 mph. High near 74 oF.
- Saturday: Seasonable with increasing clouds. Southeast wind 8-13 mph. Low: 54-58 oF. High: 70-74 oF.
- Sunday: Overcast and breezy with periods of rain (100% chance). Rainfall totals between 1.0 and 2.0 inches possible. East wind 15-20 mph, gusting to 30 mph. Low: 58-62 oF. High: 68-72 oF.
- Monday: Overcast with showers possible (50% chance). North wind 10-15 mph, gusting to 25 mph. Low: 60-64 oF. High: 70-74 oF.
- Tuesday: Mostly sunny and seasonably warm. Southwest wind 8-13 mph. Low: 56-60 oF. High: 74-78 oF.
High Tide Flooding Forecast:
- High tide flooding is not anticipated 09-10 October.
- Minor coastal flooding is possible around high tide at 0554 on 11 October with maximum water levels between 2.1 and 2.7 ft MLLW.
- Minor coastal flooding is likely, and moderate coastal flooding is possible, around high tide at 1848 on 11 October with maximum water levels between 3.0 and 3.5 ft MLLW.
- Minor coastal flooding is possible around high tide at 0630 on 12 October with maximum water levels between 2.1 and 2.7 ft MLLW.
- High tide flooding is not anticipated on 13 October.
ISSUED: 09 October 2026 at 1000
NEXT FORECAST: 14 October 2026
FORECASTER: Meteorologist A.R. Davies